Oil-yield correlation just hit its highest since the 1990 Gulf War. Every $1 rise in oil is adding 2 bps to the US 10-year yield (TS Lombard). Yields +134 bps and oil +42% since the conflict started. Macro models just got a lot harder.
published
Oil-yield correlation just hit its highest since the 1990 Gulf War. Every $1 rise in oil is adding 2 bps to the US 10-year yield (TS Lombard). Yields +134 bps and oil +42% since the conflict started. Macro models just got a lot harder.
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