Ernie Tedeschi says a simple ARIMA model for core goods PCE produces a forecast similar to the NY Fed’s approach. He still prefers the NY Fed method because it accounts for post-2025 tariff differences across products such as NAND flash memory.
published
Ernie Tedeschi says a simple ARIMA model for core goods PCE produces a forecast similar to the NY Fed’s approach. He still prefers the NY Fed method because it accounts for post-2025 tariff differences across products such as NAND flash memory.
Latest documented BWB result
$AAPL market result
I sold the $AAPL $320 Puts for 11/20 - $5.30
Historical results are not a promise of future performance. Trading involves substantial risk.This public post is a timestamped information archive, not personalized financial advice. Alerts can change as markets move. Join Billy's private group for the complete daily stream and follow-through.